DSDS 2002: Plenary session 4, 10 February 2002Managing natural resources
    for society: welfare and health implications 
    Prof. Y K Alagh 
    Former Union Minister and Member of Parliament,
    India
    Abstract
    Sustainability
    and welfare: issues
    For this session, the following may be seen as some
    underlying trends. 
      - Withdrawal of the State from a dominating role in direct
        provision of economic services
 
      - The State not only providing the regulatory framework for
        the functioning of the economic and social sectors, but also laying down the institutional
        rules, the incentive and disincentive mechanisms and fiscal rules for civil society
        institutions to function, like the decentralized local institutions of government,
        Cooperatives, NGOs and newer forms of similar organizations
 
      - India and some other large countries entering into a phase
        in which nonrenewable resource scarcities will be far more severe. This is particularly
        true of resources, like water, good land, and energy and sustainability concerns will be
        acute
 
      - A much greater emphasis on the rights of individuals and
        groups and greater demands on transparency
 
      - More pressing needs of protecting the vulnerable groups,
        either the historically underprivileged, or the victims of marketisation needing safety
        nets
 
      - Modern technology providing cutting edge knowledge based
        solutions to emerging scarcities or problems, and therefore greater use of information
        technology, biotechnology, networking, the new materials and strategic management
        responses
 
      - Security concerns becoming more acute, both of an
        institutional nature as also the more basic issues of energy security, food and water
        security
 
      - Greater possibilities and need for regional and global
        cooperation. 
 
     
    A business-as-usual scenario is useful as a counterfactual
    to illustrate the nature of the problems. For India, an expert exercise with many leading
    institutions involved shows the following. 
    
      
        | Population | 
        1330 million | 
       
      
        | Urban Population | 
        Low: 465 million; High: 590
        million | 
       
      
        | Slum population | 
        Low: 85 million; High: 130
        million | 
       
      
        | Solid Waste Disposal | 
        100110 million tonnes | 
       
      
        | Demand for COAL FOR | 
        Low: 817 million tonnes; High:
        2016 million  | 
       
      
        | Power GENERATION | 
        tonnes | 
       
      
        | Cropping Intensity | 
        More than 1.5 | 
       
      
        | Net Area Sown | 
        Constant at 141 million
        hectares since the nineties | 
       
      
        | Irrigation Intensity | 
        Around 1.75 | 
       
      
        | Water Shortage  | 
        Around 10% to 25% between the
        years 2020/50 | 
       
      
        | Noise levels | 
        Twice the norms in trend
        forecast | 
       
      
        | Air Pollution | 
        Two to two and a half times
        the norms in trend forecast | 
       
      
        | Source: Y.K.Alagh, Indias
        Sustainable Development Framework: 2020, UNU/IAS | 
       
     
    On the flip side there are many
    success stories where community effort functioning in the context of reform scenarios has
    been used to provide employment or social protection in a sustainable manner. Watershed
    development, for settled agriculture alternately tree crops, reclamation of saline lands,
    farmers run lower level irrigation systems, aquifer management in difficult situations,
    like coastal aquifers, tribal irrigation cooperatives, tank irrigation have all been
    reported as success stories and studied. Similar examples exist in the education, health,
    self help areas. Unfortunately national and global systems are not tuned in terms of
    incentive and disincentive systems and organizational designs to support such efforts. The
    question is replicability on a larger scale. We try to set out some rules, if applied in
    functioning policies may reverse the tide.  
    
      The success stories are community and
        leadership based, with leadership coming from diverse sources: a progressive farmer, an
        NGO, a local army retired person, a concerned civil servant, a scientist
        working in the field. The leaders either had a science background or new enough to adapt
        from a nearby science institution. The organisation structure was neither purely private
        ownership, nor fully community or social control. The leadership invariably argued for
        aggressively functioning markets and land ownership was private and agricultural
        operations at the household level. However there was for land or water management, limited
        and well defined cooperation. This could be drainage, soil shaping, contour management,
        improvement and management of lower level canals, desilting of tanks, raising embankments,
        fish culture, market development, controlled grazing and so on. They estimated the land
        and water development costs, The labour component, outside finance, the output
        in terms of food requirements met, energy requirements met and fodder supplies. There were
        estimates of economic rates of return on the investment, i.e. at accounting
        border prices, with a shadow wage rate 25% higher than the market rate. Financial rates of
        return at market prices were also estimated. These studies showed high economic rates of
        return, 18% plus, making them very productive investments. 
       
      There have to be well-identified shelves of
        a large number of small projects on land, water and other infrastructure projects
        available for financing. It was a mistake to weaken the agroclimatic project in India,
        given the regions diversified resource base:  
       
      - Financial institutions have to design structures such that
        community collateral is possible for viable projects. Self-help financing groups are only
        one such group. Land and water development groups, local infrastructure projects, in road
        or communication sectors, productionizing products developed in R&D institutions,
        training for production with improved techniques, market development schemes developed by
        local and community groups would be other examples ;
 
         
      Lending through a weather or project cycle
        would be necessary. NABARD ( the National Agricultural Bank in India ) had started a
        scheme of this kind in 1991 as a part of an agro-economic regionalization strategy started
        by the author, gave it up in 1993 and is again starting it now ( See Kapur Committee
        ,Reserve Bank of India, 2000 for details ) ; 
       
      Developing policy "champions" for
        sorting out administrative, financial and procedural issues at local, regional and
        national levels, when problems arise with these kind of development strategies. It is
        reasonably certain that problems are going to arise in development experiments, which are
        off the beaten track. The question then is, is there somebody in the policy decision
        making structure who will sort out the problem. ADB reports in a detailed study of farmer
        managed irrigation systems, that the failure cases were those where such support did not
        exist. Failure here is defined as performance levels lower than by government agencies.  
       
     
    Many of the institutions, which have
    succeeded, are of a mixed kind. They integrate the vigour of decentralized markets, with
    limited forms of focussed community action. Cooperatives, non-profit organizations and
    partnerships between private sector, Coops, NGOs or local governments are not foreseen at
    all. A Committee that I chaired in India presented a draft law for cooperatives to set up
    producer companies with corporate alliances. ( See Alagh, 2000 ) It saved the cooperative
    principle by providing the one share one vote basis, but as V.Kurien and the Independent
    Cooperative Initiative declared in the Anand Declaration in December 2000, some vested
    interests are opposing this reform. Recently the concerned legislation has been tabled in
    Parliament and Shri Pranab Mukherjee heads the Standing Committee on the legislation.  
    Markets are a very powerful way of supporting
    atomistic institutions. But community organisations and limited and focused cooperative
    forms of institutions are critical at the present phase of development. They are not a
    part of the central policy debates. Alternative possibilities are not only possible, but
    even global experience suggests that there are better ways of organising society so that
    it can unleash its own creative energies. ( For example see the documentation at the
    expert level for the UN Secretary Generals Millenium Conference: See Y.K.Alagh,
    Keynote Address on Development and Governance, in Van Ginkel and Thakur, UNU Millennium
    Series, 2001, pp.73-82. )  
    These questions need the exploration of three
    critical areas . First, how can communities and individuals in fragile regions and at
    risk, turn around? In other words, how can sustainable development strategies be
    operationalised. The institutional question here is the socio-economic rules and
    incentives and disincentives, so that organizations and structures are in position to
    foster replicability of success stories. Second what are the policy and macro implications
    of supporting these strategies. Here the knowledge base is thinner, but the timing is
    appropriate. The nineties was the period of globalisation. After the East
    Asian crisis, the Washington Consensus is being superimposed with this ( is giving up to?
    ), in many countries, [ See Jomo, K.S., 2000 for the growth and distribution impacts of
    the East Asian crisis], although the new strand of reasoning has little impact on a
    general plane. Development strategies are by definition mobilisational in the sense of
    resource raising, but do we have the wisdom to develop systems which will genuinely help
    those who help themselves, or will resources, technology and organization support always
    and only, be a part of commerce, the urge of dominance and double speak. Here, even the
    blueprints are vague. At least the rules of structural adjustment were clear 
    abolish controls, reduce government, reduce tariffs and never have special policies for
    employment or development of backward areas." The rules of helping those who help
    themselves are not known. The power of modern technology and decentralized markets is
    known. But how do we use this power for areas where markets and resource backups are weak,
    is not quite clear. What are some of the areas where development concerns will need
    structures at the regional, national and global level? Third and finally, can partnerships
    be talked about if the language of the other is not known. What are the requirements of
    participation and transparency? How can they be made a part of functioning systems? This
    is a question of alternate thinking styles which need encouragement. 
     
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